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Science

Will a private company achieve orbital human spaceflight to Mars by 2030?

BRby brumaombra · 07/04/2026, 01:48 PM

Companies like SpaceX are targeting Mars missions. This market asks whether a private company, not government-led, successfully sends humans to Mars orbit or surface and returns them safely by the end of 2030.

50%chance

YES · ℂ0.50

NO · ℂ0.50

YES 50%0 / 0 sharesNO 50%
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Open interest

0

Liquidity factor (b)

100.00

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